Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.159211 0.186372 0.216253 0.251493 0.291844 0.336527 0.389678
2025-11-02 0.112621 0.148824 0.193053 0.250718 0.323524 0.411969 0.527077
2025-11-09 0.085859 0.124367 0.175254 0.246673 0.343436 0.468961 0.642911
2025-11-16 0.068168 0.106719 0.161130 0.242294 0.358768 0.518057 0.750095
2025-11-23 0.054277 0.091186 0.146463 0.233515 0.364915 0.553062 0.839179
2025-11-30 0.049000 0.087370 0.147756 0.247226 0.403725 0.636323 1.002500
2025-12-07 0.040545 0.076815 0.136835 0.240255 0.409804 0.671224 1.096945
2025-12-14 0.033693 0.067661 0.126627 0.232646 0.413282 0.701455 1.185627
2025-12-21 0.028515 0.060523 0.118659 0.227435 0.419521 0.735746 1.282468
2025-12-28 0.025526 0.056952 0.116392 0.231616 0.441610 0.796968 1.426844
2026-01-04 0.023431 0.054767 0.116302 0.239535 0.470688 0.871748 1.598809
2026-01-11 0.021238 0.051987 0.114647 0.244200 0.494126 0.938379 1.761398
2026-01-18 0.018965 0.048721 0.111735 0.246384 0.513719 1.000792 1.923222
2026-01-25 0.016731 0.045147 0.107713 0.245904 0.528267 1.055479 2.075879
2026-02-01 0.014532 0.041226 0.102360 0.241951 0.535468 1.096986 2.207382
2026-02-08 0.012625 0.037636 0.097185 0.237650 0.541348 1.136153 2.336943
2026-02-15 0.010714 0.033635 0.090448 0.229022 0.537289 1.155639 2.430366
2026-02-22 0.010344 0.033725 0.093395 0.242496 0.581031 1.271783 2.717131
2026-03-01 0.008912 0.030534 0.087857 0.235646 0.580160 1.298673 2.831010
2026-03-08 0.007649 0.027551 0.082367 0.228168 0.577033 1.320483 2.935900
2026-03-15 0.006659 0.025174 0.078078 0.223049 0.578628 1.351993 3.062229
2026-03-22 0.006149 0.024222 0.077490 0.227157 0.601931 1.430984 3.291299
2026-03-29 0.005816 0.023791 0.078291 0.234938 0.634592 1.532281 3.573139